Could South Ossetia be the first move in a gambit?

August 8th, 2008 by badger

Since i’m on a conspiracy jag anyway, i might as well post this.

The Georgia-Russia conflict over South Ossetia spooked the hell out of me this morning. I didn’t see it coming, but there just seemed somethign weird about the timing. A Georgian official was attributing the timing to most officials being in Beijing for the Olympics, so most nations would be caught off guard. It makes sense, but then i ran across a comment in the thread of a Metafilter post on the subject. It pointed to this blog, which insists that this is the prelude to the U.S. making a strike on Iran. It seems that he actually made the call on South Ossetia on Thursday (unless he forged the post.)

It sounds a little extreme, but yep… two American carriers are indeed heading to the Persian Gulf:

DOW JONES NEWSWIRES

The Kuwait government has learned that two aircraft carriers are scheduled to arrive in the Persian Gulf and Red Sea in case of a U.S.-Iran war, the Kuwait Times reported on its Web site, citing an unnamed senior official.

The report didn’t identify the ships. However, the Jerusalem Post said on its Web site Thursday that they were the USS Theodore Roosevelt and the USS Ronald Reagan.

The Post cited an unidentified defense analyst, and said the U.S. Navy would neither confirm nor deny that carriers were en route.

Kuwait is preparing an emergency plan in case the situation escalates and war breaks out between the U.S. and Iran, the Kuwaiti report said Thursday, citing the official.

Acting Kuwait premier Sheikh Jaber Al-Mubarak Al-Sabah has asked the interior minister and others to hold meetings with different departments to reveal and resolve the country’s weaknesses, the Kuwait Times reported.

The connection that that blog makes is that the South Ossetia conflict was deliberately provoked by Georgia to keep Russia occupied while the Iran strikes begin. It doesn’t help that Israel has beefed up its strike abilities considerably this summer. I don’t buy all of those bioweapon theories, as that’s too far out even for me, but distracting Russia makes sense.

Then again, i’ve been wringing my hands worrying about an attack on Iran for the past two years at the very least. Nothing might come of this, and the South Ossetia conflict will be an isolated tragedy, not an opening move in a widespread regional war.

Tags: , , , ,

2 Responses to “Could South Ossetia be the first move in a gambit?”

  1. Alex says:

    Do you think that Bush can attack Iran now? He will be the worst president in the US history : started 2 wars and won none.

  2. badger says:

    If he attacks Iran, the total would be three! Don’t forget Afghanistan, which was actually the only one that had a legitimate cause, even if if it was completely mishandled.

    Cheney wants this Iran strike more more than anything. Bush himself probably just wants to watch some football and take a nap.

Leave a Reply