This is the presidential race as I’ve been observing it for the past several months. Some of this I can document on Twitter & emails to Bill. My poor wife has listened to me spin these theories with a patient but pained smile as she couldn’t give a fuck. I should have been posting some of these deranged theories on the blog all along.
My original theory with the Republican nomination was that Trump has no intention of being president. This is a some brand-building stunt that went too far and he didn’t know how to bow out gracefully. Many of the insane proposals and actions were attempts to crash his own campaign, then blaming whatever it was on sinister external forces. He didn’t want the job of president, just the attention and the ability to control the narrative. His long-running alliance with Ted Cruz seemed to tip his hand, with Trump passing off the torch to him when he was done, making Trump kingmaker in his own head.
Jeb Bush focusing narrowly on destroying Marco Rubio made me think this was another twisted game. Yes, spite drives Bush- jealous of the Florida upstart- but the Bushs and Clintons are not exactly mortal enemies. The Bush family is eager to spike the Republican establishment candidates because Clinton presidency stymies chances of another rival on the Republican side consolidating power. Jeb destroying Rubio keeps path clear for future generations of Bushs to White House. It’s not about Democrats versus Republicans, but rival houses jockeying for position in the oligarchy.
Another angle to my crazy theory developed in the past couple of months. Trump was paving way for Cruz because Clinton can easily beat Cruz in the general election. Trump has a history with the Clintons. Some of the oligarchy wants Rubio, but Clinton (and the Bushs) don’t want to give them that option. Another angle to Trump staying in was sucking up the oxygen about the anti-establishment narrative. The mainstream media could continue to make facile comparisons between Trump and Sanders being anti-establishment. The less Sanders is discussed, the better it is for Clinton.
Cruz is a legitimate outsider, an ugly freak no one in the establishment wants. He’s the desire of the Tea Party made flesh. He wants the Oval Office now and he’s not playing by the secrets rules of the oligarchy. I’ve met more passionate Cruz supporters in person by far than strong Trump supporters, who mostly seem to be internet trolls.
Ben Carson is an outsider too, but like Huckabee… he’s just in it to sell some books and cash in. He confounded me when he was on the rise for awhile.
A few weeks ago, I temporarily discarded my Trump/Cruz theory, when Trump began attacking Cruz in Iowa. Did he decide he’d be a better Judas goat? He played the same birther card on Cruz that he’d been using on Obama, since Hillary’s people first played in back in 2008. After Trump called in Sarah Palin and Joe Arpaio, I should have realized he was still trying to spike his campaign. No one would be that stupid. I expect he’ll be savaging Cruz a lot more in the coming weeks, so that Clinton can wrap up that angle better later, trying to avoid getting her hands too dirty.
It’s not a stable conspiracy. While actors in this kabuki know and play their roles, they are still vying to fuck over the others to flip the script.
My man is Bernie Sanders and always has been. I didn’t think he was seriously attempting to win until late last summer, just forcing Clinton to address certain issues that she’d ignore in favor of spooking the Democratic electorate with the possibility of a Republican picking Supreme Court judges. Hillary won’t do a damned thing more for the middle class than she has to do to win. She doesn’t want to promise anything substantial to the dirty proles, only to have them expect her to do something other than amass more power and wealth for her allies.